Answer
Prerequisites
- Algebraic Simplification
- Probability Inequalities
Step-by-Step Derivation
From part (a), the decision rule is to guess heads if:
Given the condition , we substitute into the inequality:
Now, we simplify the inequality:
Adding to both sides:
Thus, when the error rates are symmetric (), the optimal decision rule simplifies to: guess heads if the prior probability of heads () is strictly greater than the probability of the friend reporting incorrectly ().